Will Alabama get revenge on Vanderbilt? Will Miami pull away in the ACC race? My College Football Projection Model has predicted point differentials and totals for those games and more this week.
The model takes into account past performance, returning talent and recruiting rankings. We then compare the model’s projections to the BetMGM lines for extra context. There is considerable uncertainty in these games, given the new coaches and rosters assembled through the transfer portal, but the model attempts to account for this.
This week, my model has Miami by 2.5 at Florida State and Alabama by 13.5 against Vanderbilt.
Below are the projected margins of victory and totals for every FBS vs. FBS game this week.
(Photo of Diego Pavia: Johnnie Izquierdo / Getty Images)
Oct 3, 2025
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