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ESPN analysts reveal key to No. 5 St. John’s upsetting No. 1 Duke in Sweet 16

March 27, 2026
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One of the most highly anticipated games in recent memory is set to take place on Friday night when the five-seed St. John’s takes on one-seed Duke in the Sweet 16 (7:10 p.m. ET, CBS).

When fully healthy, Duke (34-2, 17-1 ACC) has arguably looked like the team to beat for most of the season. However, recent injuries to center Patrick Ngongba II (foot) and guard Caleb Foster (right foot) have dampened its national title hopes and nearly led to a surprise loss in each of its first two NCAA Tournament games.

With a red-hot St. John’s team that has won 21 of its last 22 games up next, ESPN college basketball analysts Seth Greenberg and Jay Williams were asked what they believe the key is for the Red Storm (30-6, 18-2 Big East) to pull off the upset. Greenberg pointed to turnovers playing a major role.

Seth Greenberg, Jay Williams lay out path to an upset for St. John’s

“They’ve got to play St. John’s basketball. They’ve got to turn Duke over, they’ve got to get up and underneath them,” Greenberg said during Thursday’s edition of “Get Up.” “They force a turnover 19 percent of the possessions. If they can do that, they’re gonna be able to defend Cam Boozer one-on-one, I think, with Zuby Ejiofor.”



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