The Marlins announced to reporters, including Craig Mish of SportsGrid, that left-hander Robby Snelling will undergo Tommy John surgery. He was transferred to the 60-day injured list earlier today and will stay there for the rest of the year. He’ll likely be out until around the 2027 All-Star break.
It’s obviously awful news for any pitcher when a Tommy John surgery is required but it’s particularly bitter timing for Snelling. He has spent the past few years working his way through the minor leagues and became one of the top pitching prospects in the game. Miami called him up to the majors earlier this month and he made his big league debut. But he experienced some discomfort after his first start and was diagnosed with a sprain of his ulnar collateral ligament, the ligament that is replaced in Tommy John surgery.
Instead of building up his major league track record, Snelling is now going to be rehabbing for quite a while with just one game on his stat sheet. TJS usually requires 14 months or more of recovery time, so Snelling will miss the rest of the 2026 season and probably at least half of 2027.
For Snelling personally, the one silver lining is that this injury occurred just after his promotion. Since he is on the major league IL, he will collect big league pay and service time throughout his rehab process. If the injury occurred a few weeks earlier while he was still in the minors, that would not have been the case.
That’s a small positive for Snelling but a negative for the Marlins. They called up Snelling in May, so he wasn’t in position to get to a full year of service this season. That means his window of club control would include this year and six additional seasons. He could have been a Marlins rotation mainstay for that time. Or even if he eventually wound up on the trade block, as many Miami pitchers do, that window of control was going to be part of his eventual trade appeal.
Instead, he’s now going to be on the shelf for most of the first two years of that seven-year window. He will still have lots of time to get back on track and establish himself as a viable big league arm, but this is going to take a big bite out of the club’s control window.
The Marlins will also now have to proceed without Snelling in their plans for quite a while. Not too long ago, they were overflowing with rotation depth. They felt good enough about their stable of arms to trade Edward Cabrera and Ryan Weathers in the offseason, allowing them to add some offense and prospects. Even with those trades, they came into the season with a rotation consisting of Sandy Alcantara, Eury Pérez, Max Meyer, Chris Paddack and Janson Junk. Their minor league depth included Braxton Garrett, Snelling and fellow prospect Thomas White.
But has so often happens, the surplus has evaporated. The Fish designated Paddack for assignment to open a spot for Snelling. Once Snelling hit the IL, they called up Garrett, but Garrett made two poor starts and was optioned back to the minors. White was placed on the minor league IL on Tuesday, so he’s not a short-term option.
Junk started for the Marlins yesterday. They have Alcantara, Pérez and Meyer slated to start the next three games. By Sunday, they will need some kind of plan, whether that’s a bullpen game or a spot starter. Tyler Phillips has been pitching multiple innings out of the bullpen and could be part of the solution. In addition to Garrett, they have Dax Fulton, Ryan Gusto and Bradley Blalock on optional assignment. Those three all have ERAs north of 4.40 in Triple-A this year.
Photo courtesy of Sam Navarro, Imagn Images
