It’s been an extremely strong year for the Big 12 in college basketball, and the 2026 Big 12 Tournament tips off on Tuesday in Kansas City. The No. 12 seed Arizona State Sun Devils (16-15, 7-11 Big 12) take on the No. 13 seed Baylor Bears (16-15, 6-12 Big 12) in the first matchup. The winner advances to play Iowa State in the second round on Wednesday.
Tipoff from the T-Mobile Center is at 12:30 p.m. ET. The latest Baylor vs. Arizona State odds list the Sun Devils as 4.5-point favorite. The over/under is 153.5. Before making any Arizona State vs. Baylor picks, check out the men’s college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered conference tournament week on a sizzling 14-2 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on a 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following its college basketball betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has simulated Baylor vs. Arizona State 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men’s college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several men’s college basketball odds and men’s college basketball betting lines for Arizona State vs. Baylor:
Arizona State vs. Baylor spread:
Baylor -4.5
Arizona State vs. Baylor over/under:
153.5 points
Arizona State vs. Baylor money line:
Baylor -188, ASU +156
Arizona State vs. Baylor picks:
See picks at SportsLine
Arizona State vs. Baylor streaming:
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Top Baylor vs. Arizona State predictions
SportsLine’s model is going Over on the total (153.5 points). This line has fallen four points since the opener, creating value on the Over. Three of Baylor’s past four games have cleared the total. The Bears have also seen 53% of their games go Over this season.
SportsLine’s model is projecting 155 points in this matchup with Cameron Carr leading Baylor at 20.3 points and Maurice Odum pacing ASU with 17.7 as the Over hits more than 50% of the time.
How to make Arizona State vs. Baylor picks
The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Baylor vs. Arizona State, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.
