Michigan State vs. Wisconsin prediction, odds, spread, time: 2026 college basketball picks from proven model

Teams vying for an upper-third finish in the Big Ten clash when the No. 10 Michigan State Spartans battle the Wisconsin Badgers in a key matchup on Friday night. Michigan State is coming off an 85-82 home overtime win over Illinois on Saturday, while Wisconsin defeated Illinois 92-90 in overtime on Tuesday in Champaign, Ill. The Spartans (20-4, 10-3 Big Ten), who are tied for third in the conference, are 4-2 on the road this season. The Badgers (17-7, 9-4 Big Ten), who are tied for sixth in the league, are 12-2 on their home court.

Tipoff from the Kohl Center in Madison, Wis., is set for 8 p.m. ET. Michigan State leads the all-time series 87-70, but Wisconsin has won three of the past four meetings. Michigan State is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Michigan State vs. Wisconsin odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 145.5. Before making any Wisconsin vs. Michigan State picks, check out the men’s college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and it enters Week 15 on a sizzling 11-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on an 11-5 run on top-rated CBB side picks. Anyone following its college basketball betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has simulated Michigan State vs. Wisconsin 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men’s college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several men’s college basketball odds and men’s college basketball betting lines for Wisconsin vs. Michigan State:

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin spread:    

Michigan State -1.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin over/under:    

145.5 points

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin money line:    

Michigan State -125, Wisconsin +105

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin picks:    

See picks at SportsLine

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin streaming:

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How to make Michigan State vs. Wisconsin picks

SportsLine’s model is going Over on the total (145.5 points). The Over has hit in five of the last nine head-to-head meetings between the schools. The Over has also hit in each of the last four Michigan State games, and in six of the last nine Wisconsin games.

The model projects the Spartans to have four players score 10.2 points or more, including Jeremy Fears Jr.’s projected 14.6 points. The Badgers, meanwhile, are projected to have four players score 14.5 or more points, led by John Blackwell, who is projected to score 19.2 points. The Over clears in well over 60% of simulations. 

The model also says one side of the spread hits 60% of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Wisconsin vs. Michigan State, and which side of the spread hits 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Michigan State vs. Wisconsin spread to back, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.