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Andy Katz’s Final Four dark horses for the 2025-26 men’s basketball season

October 8, 2025
in NCAA Basketball
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As the 2025-26 season nears, here are the teams that could make a surprise Final Four run.  

1. UCLA

Donovan Dent is a Bruin 🐻

UCLA officially announced the signing of the guard via transfer 🤝 pic.twitter.com/iqvi3TEJUN

— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) April 1, 2025

The Bruins won’t be a favorite, but getting the Mountain West Player of the Year in Donovan Dent and the return of their core makes the Bruins a legit Final Four threat.

2. BYU 

Rob Wright is a Cougar 🔥

BYU announced the guard will play in Provo next season 👏 pic.twitter.com/PWCo2eWAq3

— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessMBB) April 14, 2025

With a potential top pick in AJ Dybantsa, the addition of Baylor transfer Robert Wright III, and the return of Richie Saunders, the Cougars have the talent to make a run. 

3. Oregon

Oregon Ducks

The Ducks never seem to get the respect they deserve. Jackson Shelstad should be fine after a broken hand, and Nate Bittle is back for an All-Big Ten season. The pieces are there for a title run. 

4. Arizona

The Wildcats overachieved last season but should be in a position to make a deep run if they can stay healthy. 

👀 TAKE A LOOK: Check out Andy Katz’s dark horses for the 2024-25 season

5. Iowa State

TJ Otzelberger has the experience, the defense and the desire to get the Cyclones to a Final Four. 

6. Illinois

If Andrej Stojakovic becomes an All-Big Ten player and scorer, the Illini will have the pieces to make a run.

7. Wisconsin

The Badgers have a strong returning core and a player with Final Four experience in Nick Boyd.

🏙️ MORE KATZ RANKS: Top 10 college towns

8. NC State

The Wolfpack were a surprise Final Four team two years ago, but the talent level has increased under first-year coach Will Wade. Making another deep run wouldn’t be a shock. 

9. Ohio State

The Buckeyes fell flat late last season, but few teams return as much backcourt experience. This group has the ability to make a deep run. 

10. Michigan State

The Spartans may not have a lottery pick this season, but they have a team that knows its role and will be a tough out in every game. 

Andy Katz is an NCAA.com correspondent. Katz worked at ESPN for 18 years as a college basketball reporter, host and anchor. He’s covered every Final Four since 1992, and the sport since 1986 as a freshman at Wisconsin. He is a former president of the United States Basketball Writers Association. Katz can also be seen covering college basketball on Big Ten Network during the regular season. Follow him on Twitter at @theandykatz.

The views on this page do not necessarily reflect the views of the NCAA or its member institutions.

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