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ESPN's Computer Predicts 5 Teams Will Win 10 Games

June 15, 2025
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Meet The Wife Of Kirk Herbstreit (1:13)

ESPN’s computer model, the Football Power Index, released its projections for the 2025 college football season earlier this month.

The FPI is a projection-based model that uses many factors. According to ESPN, it “is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Who will end up surging to the top of the college football rankings during the 2025 college football season?

ESPN’s computer model has an idea.

PASADENA, CALIFORNIA – JANUARY 1: (L-R) Desmond Howard, Rece Davis, Nick Saban, Pat McAfee, Lee Corso and Kirk Herbstreit of ESPN College GameDay appear on set before the Rose Bowl between Ohio State Buckeyes and Oregon Ducks at Rose Bowl Stadium on January 1, 2025 in Pasadena, California. (Photo by Ric Tapia/Getty Images)

Ric Tapia/Getty Images

ESPN’s computer model, the Football Power Index, is projecting five teams will win at least 10 games during the 2025 college football regular season.

Here are those five teams.

1. Texas Longhorns

Projected win/loss record: 10.4-2.1

AUSTIN, TEXAS – DECEMBER 21: Arch Manning #16 of the Texas Longhorns warms up prior to a game against the Clemson Tigers in the Playoff First Round Game at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium on December 21, 2024 in Austin, Texas. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images)

Tim Warner/Getty Images

2. Ohio State Buckeyes

Projected win/loss record: 10.4-2.2

COLUMBUS, OHIO – DECEMBER 21: Quarterback Julian Sayin #10 of the Ohio State Buckeyes seen in action during the game against the Tennessee Volunteers at Ohio Stadium on December 21, 2024 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Mowry/Getty Images)

Jason Mowry/Getty Images

3. Penn State Nittany Lions

Projected win/loss record: 10.2-2.2

MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA – JANUARY 09: Drew Allar #15 of the Penn State Nittany Lions reacts during the first quarter against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the Capital One Orange Bowl at Hard Rock Stadium on January 09, 2025 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

4. Georgia Bulldogs

Projected win/loss record: 10.1-2.3

NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – JANUARY 02: Head coach Kirby Smart of the Georgia Bulldogs looks on during the second quarter against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish during the 91st Allstate Sugar Bowl at Caesars Superdome on January 02, 2025 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images)

Sean Gardner/Getty Images

5. Oregon Ducks

Projected win/loss record: 10.0-2.4

EUGENE, OR – SEPTEMBER 02: An Oregon Ducks cheerleader performs during a college football game between the Oregon Ducks and Portland State Vikings on September 2, 2023, at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon. (Photo by Brian Murphy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Icon Sportswire/Getty Images

***

Who do you see rising to the top of the college football rankings in 2025?

Sound off in the comments below.



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Tags: computerESPN039sgamesPredictsTeamswin
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