Tottenham vs Bournemouth Prediction | Opta Analyst

We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League game with our Tottenham vs Bournemouth prediction and preview. Ange Postecoglou’s men will look to hit back at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium after their midweek defeat in Europe.

Tottenham vs Bournemouth Stats: The Key Insights

The Opta supercomputer slightly favours Tottenham to take the three points on Sunday, winning 39.1% of pre-match simulations.

Only Brentford’s Gtech Community Stadium (56) has seen more Premier League goals in 2024-25 than the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (52 – F28 A24).

Only Crystal Palace (-7.1) have underperformed their non-penalty xG figure by more than Bournemouth (-5.4) in the Premier League this season (44.4 xG, 39 goals).

Tottenham host Bournemouth in the Premier League on Sunday at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, bidding to bounce back from yet another disappointing result in midweek.

It’s been a dismal campaign for Ange Postecoglou’s Tottenham, who slipped to a 1-0 first-leg defeat away at AZ on Thursday in their Europa League round-of-16 clash, leaving them with work to do in the return leg next week if they are to keep their hopes alive of a first major trophy since 2008.

They have domestic action to deal with first, however, and Tottenham need to pick up the pace in the Premier League if they are to avoid a hugely disappointing bottom-half finish, currently sitting 13th and nine points behind 10th-placed Aston Villa.

Tottenham have lost seven Premier League home games this season – it’s their joint-most in a 38-game season in the competition (level with 1996-97), while only in 1993-94 have they lost more (nine).

They drew a blank in their last home game, losing 1-0 to Manchester City, and Tottenham have now averaged just 0.8 goals a match across their four home contests in 2025, compared to 2.5 in their first 10 of the season.

Injuries have forced Postecoglou to turn to his younger players this term, with a league-leading 2,582 minutes played by teenagers this season, while the 57 appearances given to teens is their second-most behind the 1993-94 campaign (82).

In stark contrast to Tottenham, Bournemouth are enjoying a magnificent season, with Andoni Iraola’s men very much in the hunt for European football next term despite a recent rough patch.

Bournemouth head into Sunday’s game in seventh, just four points off the Champions League places, though Iraola will be desperate to ensure his side arrest a slump that’s seen them lose three of their last four Premier League games.

That’s as many defeats as they had experienced in their previous 18 league games (10 wins, five draws).

They’ve suffered back-to-back defeats against Wolves and then Brighton, and they’ll be hoping to avoid losing three league games in a row for the first time since May 2024.

Bournemouth lead the way in the Premier League for the most pressures resulting in a turnover in the final third with 300, while Tottenham are second with 299.

Only Mohamed Salah (16) has scored more away goals in the Premier League this season than Justin Kluivert (10), with the Dutchman’s 10 goals on the road the most ever by a Bournemouth player in a single top-flight campaign.

In terms of injury news, Iraola will remain without Adam Smith, Marcos Senesi and Enes Ünal, while Illia Zabarnyi is still out through suspension after he was sent off against Wolves.

Postecoglou received yet another selection blow against AZ as Dominic Solanke, only just returning from a spell on the sidelines, was forced off after coming on as a second-half substitute.

While centre-back duo Micky van de Ven and Cristian Romero could return to the starting XI, Dejan Kulusevski, Richarlison and Radu Dragusin are still out through injury.

Tottenham vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head

Tottenham have won six of their seven Premier League home games against Bournemouth, with the exception being a 3-2 loss in April 2023.

The last clash between the sides was back in December, when a Dean Huijsen header from a corner was enough to earn Bournemouth a 1-0 win at the Vitality Stadium.

That victory means Sunday’s game gives Bournemouth the opportunity to do the league double over Tottenham for the first time in the club’s history.

Tottenham vs Bournemouth Prediction

The Opta supercomputer is backing Tottenham to end their two-game losing run on Sunday, coming out on top in 39.1% of its 10,000 pre-match simulations.

Bournemouth are far from written off, though, given a 36.6% chance of returning to winning ways, while the draw is rated at a probability of 24.4%.

Disappointingly for Tottenham fans, their team’s Premier League campaign looks all but over, with just a 0.07% chance of somehow scraping Europa League qualification with what would be a miraculous end to the season. Spurs’ current spot of 13th is rated as their most likely finishing position.

Bournemouth’s season, meanwhile, is very much alive. They are given an 8.8% chance of qualifying for the Champions League, while their Europa League hopes are rated at 12.8%. Seventh is the Cherries’ predicted final spot.

Tottenham vs Bournemouth Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off on Sunday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

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