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Kentucky vs. Alabama prediction, odds, spread: 2026 college basketball picks from proven model

January 3, 2026
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SEC powers open conference play on Saturday when the No. 14 Alabama Crimson Tide host the Kentucky Wildcats. Kentucky is 9-4 overall, but enters this matchup with some momentum after beating St. John’s and Indiana as part of a four-game winning streak. Alabama has won three straight and enters conference play at 10-3 overall. Alabama swept the season series between these teams last year, including a 99-70 win in the SEC Tournament that was the largest margin of victory ever for the program against Kentucky. 

Tipoff from Coleman Coliseum is at noon ET. The Crimson Tide are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. Kentucky odds, while the over/under is 176.5. Before making any Kentucky vs. Alabama picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

New users can target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets if your $5+ bet wins:

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and it enters Week 9 on a sizzling 7-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks. Anyone following its college basketball betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns. 

Now, the model has simulated Kentucky vs. Alabama 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men’s college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several men’s college basketball odds and men’s college basketball betting lines for Alabama vs. Kentucky:

Kentucky vs. Alabama spread:    

Alabama -5.5

Kentucky vs. Alabama over/under:    

176.5 points

Kentucky vs. Alabama money line:    

Alabama -231, Kentucky +189

Kentucky vs. Alabama picks:    

See picks at SportsLine

Kentucky vs. Alabama streaming:

Fubo (Try for free)    

New users can check out the latest bet365 bonus code to get $150 in bonus bets after placing a $5 bet:

How to make Alabama vs. Kentucky picks

SportsLine’s model is going Under on the total (176.5 points). The total has gone up five points since the opening line, creating value on the Under after the line movement. Alabama is elite offensively, but Kentucky is strong defensively, giving up just 67.8 points per game. Kentucky, meanwhile, ranks outside the top 50 in scoring offense.

Eight out of Kentucky’s 13 games have gone Under the total this season, and the Wildcats have seen just one road game go Over. The model is projecting 174 combined points in this one, making the Under the pick in well over 50% of simulations.

The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Kentucky vs. Alabama, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.



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