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Michigan State vs Purdue Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s College Basketball Game

February 26, 2026
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Jeremy Fears Jr. won’t get a warm welcome tonight — the crowd at Mackey Arena is sure to let him hear it.

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Fears and the Michigan State Spartans visit the Purdue Boilermakers with both sides pushing for a Top 4 seed in the Big Ten Conference.

If Purdue wants to make it eight straight home wins over MSU, it starts with slowing down Fears and the Spartans’ transition attack.

My Michigan State vs. Purdue predictions and college basketball picks call for a down night from Sparty’s star guard Thursday.

Michigan State vs Purdue prediction

Michigan State vs Purdue best bet: Jeremy Fears Jr. Under 15.5 points (-115)

The Purdue Boilermakers’ methodical pace and efficient shooting immediately put Jeremy Fears Jr. and the Michigan State Spartans in sand.

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Purdue doesn’t cough up the ball, limiting easy transition looks or fast break buckets, and MSU will start plenty of possessions from the inbounds.

Fears thrives on tempo and attacking the interior. Keeping his engine idle and forcing the Spartans to play more halfcourt sets, while pushing them to the perimeter is the game plan for Matt Painter.

Fears’ projections range from 13.6 to 14.5 points, and some books are down to 14.5 O/U on his scoring total.

Michigan State vs Purdue same-game parlay

Purdue has won seven in a row at home versus MSU, and game projections all side with the Boilermakers, with the expected margin at five or more points.

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Fears won’t be able to find his high gear, and Purdue will pack the middle and live with MSU shooting from outside. His projections sit as low as 13.6 points.

Jaxson Kohler is Sparty’s best outside shooter and could get plenty of open looks if Purdue sells out on plugging up the paint.

Michigan State vs Purdue SGP

Jeremy Fears Jr. Under 15.5 points

Jaxson Kohler Over 1.5 3-pointers

Our beyond the arc SGP: Train of pain

The last thing Purdue wants is to turn this game into a track meet. The Boilermakers’ turn down the tempo and win a slog of a Big Ten battle.

Michigan State vs Purdue SGP

Purdue team total Under 74.5

Jeremy Fears Jr. Under 15.5 points

Jaxson Kohler Over 1.5 3-pointers

Michigan State vs Purdue odds

Spread: Michigan State +7 | Purdue -7

Moneyline: Michigan State +255 | Purdue -315

Over/Under: Over 142 | Under 142

Michigan State vs Purdue betting trend to know

Purdue is 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS at home versus Michigan State since the 2014-15 season. Find more college basketball betting trends for Michigan State vs. Purdue.

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How to watch Michigan State vs Purdue

Location

Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN

Date

Thursday, February 26, 2026

Tip-off

8:00 p.m. ET

TV

Peacock

Michigan State vs Purdue key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.Not intended for use in MA.Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.



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Tags: BasketballcollegeGameMichiganoddspicksPredictionPurdueStateTonights
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