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ESPN Computer Gives 6 Teams 'Realistic' Chance To Make National Title Game

June 26, 2025
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College Football’s 10 Most Intimidating Stadiums (1:16)

ESPN’s computer model, the Football Power Index, is giving six teams a “realistic” chance to make the College Football Playoff national championship game this year.

The Football Power Index is a projection-based model from ESPN. It “is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule,” according to ESPN.

The ESPN computer model releases projected win-loss records, strength of schedule rankings, conference champion predictions and more.

It also includes percentage chances to reach the College Football Playoff national championship game. According to ESPN’s computer model, six teams have a “realistic” chance to make the national title.

ATLANTA, GEORGIA – JANUARY 20: Devin Brown #33 and JT Tuimoloau #44 of the Ohio State Buckeyes celebrate after winning the 2025 College Football Playoff National Championship against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish held at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on January 20, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Jamie Schwaberow/Getty Images)

Jamie Schwaberow/Getty Images

Here are those six teams, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index:

Texas – 37.7 percentGeorgia – 30.0 percentOhio State – 21.3 percentAlabama – 20.2 percentPenn State – 14.4 percentOregon – 10.4 percent

All six of those teams have a double-digit percentage chance to reach the College Football Playoff national championship game.

You can view the full odds here.



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