Two ranked teams collide in Provo on Saturday, Oct. 18, as No. 23 Utah visits No. 15 BYU in a pivotal Big 12 matchup. Both programs are off to strong starts and looking to stay in the thick of the conference title race. With postseason positioning on the line, this Top 25 clash carries major implications for the Big 12 landscape heading into the back half of the season.
The conference game will kick off at 8 p.m. ET on FOX on Saturday, with the Utes set at 3.5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 48.5 total points. Here are two key players to watch in this game, followed by the top storylines for each team, and a prediction from Heartland College Sports.
Two Key Players to Watch
LJ Martin (RB, BYU)
Star running back LJ Martin strung together his fourth 100+ yard rushing performance this season and has helped the team reach a 6-0 record. He has averaged over six yards per carry and has been the focal point of BYU’s offensive attack. His ability to set the tone early and wear down defenses has opened up opportunities in the passing game. Against a disciplined Utah front, Martin’s performance will be critical if BYU hopes to stay unbeaten.
Devon Dampier (QB, Utah)
Dual-threat quarterback Devon Dampier continues to lead the Utah offense with his ability to make plays through the air and on the ground. In the win over Arizona State, he rushed for 120 yards and three touchdowns, showcasing his explosiveness and vision. His versatility adds a dynamic layer to Utah’s playbook, making it difficult for opposing defenses to key in on any one aspect of the offense.
Two Key Storylines
Can Freshman QB Bear Bachmeier Handle the Pressure?
Freshman quarterback Bear Bachmeier will face his toughest challenge yet as he steps into a high-stakes Big 12 matchup. He’s shown flashes of poise and athleticism, but he’s yet to be tested by a defense as physical and disciplined as Utah’s. Expect Utah to dial up pressure early to force quick decisions and disrupt timing. Bachmeier’s ability to handle third-down situations, avoid turnovers, and stay composed in the pocket will be key. If BYU’s run game, led by LJ Martin, can give him manageable down-and-distance scenarios, he’s capable of settling in and finding rhythm.
Big 12 Title Race Implications
With both teams firmly in the Big 12 title hunt, Saturday’s outcome could have major implications on seeding down the stretch. A loss would be Utah’s second of the season, likely forcing the Utes to win out to stay in contention. For BYU, a defeat would further tighten the race as the conference schedule hits its back half.
Prediction: Utah 27, BYU 24
BYU’s defense has been solid, and Martin gives the Cougars a legitimate chance to control tempo on the ground. But with true freshman Bachmeier starting under center, the margin for error shrinks significantly. Utah’s defense will likely pressure him into quick throws and capitalize on his inexperience. Dampier’s dual-threat ability continues to create problems for defenses, and his command of the offense is improving weekly. If he protects the football and keeps drives alive outside of the pocket, Utah should be able to sustain enough offense to control the pace. Expect a competitive game, but the Utes’ balance and defensive discipline should be enough to win on the road.
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