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Premier League 2025/26: Haaland tipped to storm to the Golden Boot award

October 9, 2025
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Manchester City star Erling Braut Haaland has been tipped to win the Premier League Golden Boot award for the third time in four years this season.

According to Spreadex Sports, the Norwegian international striker is the betting favourite to win the Golden Boot and is on course to score between 28.5 and 30.5 league goals for City.

That prediction puts Haaland a long way clear of his rivals. Read on as we assess the predictions, before determining whether he will get the job done.

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Haaland fancied to bag another Golden Boot

Spreadex have recently updated their season player goals and assists predictions, and they undoubtedly paint a positive picture for Haaland.

Based on the most likely goalscorers for the so-called ‘Big Six’ clubs, he is forecast to finish at least 13 goals clear of the chasing pack. The predictions are as follows:

PLAYERTEAMPREDICTED GOALSErling Braut HaalandManchester City28.5 – 30.5Viktor GyokeresArsenal15.5 – 17Mohamed SalahLiverpool12.5 – 14Alexander IsakLiverpool12.5 – 14Bukayo SakaArsenal12 – 13.5Joao PedroChelsea11.5 – 13RicharlisonTottenham Hotspur9.5 – 10.5Bruno FernandesManchester United9.25 – 10.25Benjamin SeskoManchester United9.25 – 10.25Enzo FernandezChelsea9.25 – 10.25Phil FodenManchester City8 – 9Brennan JohnsonTottenham Hotspur6.5 – 7.25

While making football predictions is not an exact science, Haaland looks a good bet to win the Golden Boot after making a stellar start to the season.

He has bagged nine goals in seven league appearances to establish a three-goal lead over Bournemouth star Antoine Semenyo.

Given that the Cherries forward is not expected to continue scoring at the same rate, the biggest threat to Haaland will come from elsewhere.

The past ten seasons highlight that playing for one of the top teams generally gives players a much better chance of winning the Golden Boot.

Jamie Vardy is the only player to buck that trend having claimed the prize by netting 23 league goals for Leicester City during the 2019/20 season. Here is the full list of winners during that timeframe:

SEASONPLAYERTEAMGOALS2024/25Mohamed SalahLiverpool292023/24Erling Braut HaalandManchester City272022/23Erling Braut HaalandManchester City362021/22Mohamed SalahLiverpool23 Heung-min SonTottenham Hotspur232020/21Harry KaneTottenham Hotspur232019/20Jamie VardyLeicester City232018/19Pierre-Emerick AubameyangArsenal22 Sadio ManeLiverpool22 Mohamed SalahLiverpool222017/18Mohamed SalahLiverpool322016/17Harry KaneTottenham Hotspur292015/16Harry KaneTottenham Hotspur25

While four-time Golden Boot winner Mohamed Salah is a player to be feared in the goalscoring stakes, circumstances could conspire against him this season.

Liverpool added Alexander Isak and Hugo Ekitike to their squad this summer and they are guaranteed to have an impact on Salah’s goals output.

He is also scheduled to represent Egypt at the Africa Cup of Nations, which will further dent his chances of retaining the Golden Boot.

Arsenal’s Viktor Gyokeres stands out as the player most likely to beat Haaland this season, despite being tipped to finish a long way behind him.

A forecast of 15.5 to 17 goals looks conservative for a player who averaged almost a goal per game for Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga.

However, if Haaland steers clear of injury, he is impossible to oppose in the race to win the 2025/26 Golden Boot.

Please remember spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. They may not be suitable for everyone so please ensure you fully understand the risks involved. GambleAware.org. 18+



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