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How far away are the Gamecocks really from the college football playoffs?

June 25, 2026
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South Carolina will enter the 2026 season with the look of a playoff roster on paper and a 4-8 season that says otherwise. Quarterback LaNorris Sellers is back, wide receiver Nyck Harbor is back, and the Gamecocks return around 68% of last year’s roster, the highest in the SEC. The playoffs are closer than last season’s record shows, but not as close as the talent suggests. 

Sellers is still a 6-foot-3, 240-pound dual-threat who entered 2025 as a Heisman name, and Harbor averaged 20.6 yards per catch despite only getting 30 targets behind a line that just couldn’t hold up. The Gamecocks brought in N.C. State offensive tackle transfer Jacarrius Peak, who started 32 games in his career, which will help bring stability to a group that allowed the most sacks of any Power Four team in 2025. If the offensive line settles, Sellers gets the time to turn more of his targets into touchdowns. 

But the schedule does not care about potential. South Carolina has to travel to Alabama, Florida, Oklahoma and Arkansas, and the four biggest games are at Alabama in September, at home against Tennessee in October, at Oklahoma in late October and the Texas A&M rematch in November. The Aggies beat the Gamecocks 31-30 last season after South Carolina blew a late lead. Georgia comes to Columbia in late November before the Clemson game on the road, meaning the season’s hardest four week stretch closes the year out. 

Work is cut out for South Carolina

To realistically push for an at-large bid, South Carolina likely needs to beat at least two of Alabama, Tennessee, Oklahoma and Georgia, and they cannot afford to drop the Texas A&M rematch. Winning those games will mean they would have likely outperformed bubble teams like Ole Miss and Missouri.  

However, they will face some trap games that will matter just as much. Kentucky comes to Williams-Brice Stadium the week after the Alabama trip, exactly the same letdown situation that has bitten South Carolina before. They’ll travel to Arkansas between after playing Oklahoma and looking ahead to the Georgia game. They need to make they are more focused on the team they will be playing that week instead of preparing for their next big opponent.  

The real issue holding this team back is having no run game. South Carolina went 4-2 last season when they rushed for at least 115 yards and 0-5 when they did not. They also led or trailed by one score entering the fourth quarter in 10 of 12 games, meaning close losses, not blowouts, sank their season. New offensive coordinator Kendal Briles and running backs coach Stan Drayton needs the ground game to be a threat, so Sellers is not the only answer when a drive needs four yards. 

The Gamecock aren’t too far away. The roster, the returning production and the schedule all argue this could be playoff team on paper. But South Carolina has to prove it cane finish close games and run the ball against some of the best defensives in the nation before any of that matters. Beat two of their four toughest SEC opponents, survive the trap games and the math works out. Repeat last year’s finishing problems, and 2026 looks a lot like 2025 again. 



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